Archive for August, 2008

Airing against the first Sunday of the Olympics, Sunday Night Baseball put up below average numbers across the board.

ESPN Sunday Night Baseball

 

 

   
2008 Season to Date
VS. YEAR AGO
P2+  Male  Median P2+  Male  Median
Date Teams Time Dur M18-49 M18-34 (000) Skew % Age M18-49 M18-34 (000) Skew % Age
03/30/2008 BRAVES/NATIONALS 8:00 PM 168 2.48 2.35 3657 73% 45   6% 0% 4% 1% 1
04/06/2008 WHITE SOX/TIGERS* 8:00 PM 176 1.33 1.36 2153 71% 47   -30% -30% -25% -2% 0
04/13/2008 YANKEES/RED SOX 8:00 PM 248 2.43 2.38 3897 72% 46   115% 167% 86% 0% -6
04/20/2008 METS/PHILLIES 8:00 PM 205 1.54 1.40 2464 72% 46   -58% -64% -55% 3% 1
04/27/2008 ANGELS/TIGERS 8:00 PM 188 1.23 1.21 2075 73% 49   GAME POSTPONED YEAR AGO
05/04/2008 CUBS/CARDINALS 8:00 PM 184 1.59 1.48 3391 69% 53   33% 16% 71% -6% 2
05/11/2008 RED SOX/TWINS 8:00 PM 197 1.23 1.04 2525 72% 50   19% 32% 40% 4% 2
05/18/2008 METS/YANKEES 8:00 PM 188 1.85 1.61 3422 72% 50   -7% -12% -4% 0% 2
05/25/2008 ANGELS/WHITE SOX 8:00 PM 139 .54 .46 1082 66% 50   -26% -43% -26% -5% -2
06/01/2008 DODGERS/METS 8:00 PM 186 1.32 1.15 2392 73% 49   -58% -62% -55% 5% 2
06/08/2008 CUBS/DODGERS 8:00 PM 187 1.02 .90 2230 70% 54   -13% -7% -7% 1% 0
06/15/2008 BRAVES/ANGELS 8:00 PM 147 .58 .46 1353 73% 55   -70% -71% -62% 6% 6
06/22/2008 WHITE SOX/CUBS 8:00 PM 195 1.63 1.62 2964 71% 49   36% 37% 28% 3% -6
06/29/2008 CUBS/WHITE SOX 8:00 PM 167 1.37 1.24 2732 71% 52   11% 18% 27% -4% 3
07/06/2008 RED SOX/YANKEES 8:00 PM 219 2.24 1.93 4125 70% 49   87% 110% 81% -1% -5
07/13/2008 ROCKIES/METS 8:00 PM 170 1.21 1.10 2099 73% 49   20% 25% 26% 1% 0
07/20/2008 RED SOX/ANGELS 6:00 PM 180 1.26 1.06 2257 72% 51   -9% -4% -13% 4% -1
07/27/2008 YANKEES/RED SOX 8:58 PM 176 2.38 2.25 4230 71% 49   116% 132% 125% -5% 1
08/03/2008 PHILLIES/CARDINALS 8:00 PM 189 1.40 1.43 2680 71% 52   -32% -22% -30% 2% 1
08/10/2008 CARDINALS/CUBS 8:00 PM 165 1.36 1.10 2805 70% 53   24% 9% 26% 2% -4
AVERAGE       1.55 1.42 2820 71% 50 -5% -5% -1% 1% 0

Season to date, the only game Joe Morgan sees are down -5% in demos vs. last year and virtually flat in average audience. 

 

You’ve all probably read stories about the impressive ratings for the Opening Ceremonies - stories based on metered market ratings.  Well, we now have official national numbers for Friday night’s coverage and some idea of why these numbers were so much above the 2004 and 2000 games.

As per NBC, the rated portion of the telecast aired from 8-11:19p.  However, we have confirmed that local news had a start time of 12:04a, meaning that a full 45 (lower-rated) minutes were removed from the nationally rated portion.  This can legitimately be done, given the proper circumstances, but apparently has not been the practice in prior years (Athens ended at 11:49p, Atlanta at 12:38a) - at least not to this degree.

Using NBC’s timings, the telecast had a 10.3 in P18-49, a 9.4 in M18-49 and 34.9 million viewers.  The audience was 44% male with a median age of 50 years.  W50+ (21.4 rating) were the strongest demo - accounting for nearly 1/3 of viewers.  Conversely, M12-34 made up just 10% of viewers.

Using some crude arithmetic, it appears as these numbers are about +5-7% higher in most demos than they would have been with a “proper” 12a end time.  While these are still strong ratings and dwarf those of Athens, it would put them virtually flat with Sydney.

NBC is clearly going to use every trick in the book to pump up these numbers and you’re bound to see some very impressive cross-platform viewership numbers being thrown around.  But, when it comes to primetime broadcast coverage, this is a relatively huge, but still older and female skewing property.

Attached is a track of the last four Summer Games Opening Ceremonies

      RATINGS*  
  Date Time HH P18-49 M18-49 M50+ W50+ P2+ (000)
                 
Atlanta - 1996 7/19 8p-12:38a 23.6 14.9 12.9 21.8 26.0 39767
Sydney - 2000 9/15 8p-11:29p 16.2 9.5 8.6 14.9 18.3 27275
Athens 2004 8/13 8p-11:49p 14.6 8.0 7.1 12.7 16.3 25384
Beijing - 2008 8/8 8p-11:19p 18.8 10.3 9.4 17.4 21.4 34891
   
Beijing vs. :                
Athens   +29% +29% +32% +37% +31% +37%
Sydney   +16% +8% +9% +17% +17% +28%
Atlanta   -20% -31% -27% -20% -18% -12%
                 
*Live + SD data for 2008; Live for prior years            

Through 19 telecasts, the TBS Sunday MLB game is averaging a .36 rating in Men 18-49, a .35 in Men 18-34 and an average audience of 675,000 viewers.

In comparison, Braves games on Sundays during the 2007 season (thru the end of July) averaged a .47 in Men 18-49, a .47 in Men 18-34 and 982,000 viewers.

So, this non-exclusive window not only falls short of what Braves games used to do, but it fares worse than what a movie or sitcom repeats would do.

Given their investment in post-season rights, it makes sense for TBS to have some sort of MLB Regular Season presence.  But, clearly, most of the viewers who watched the Braves last year are….well, they are probably watching the Braves (or the Cubs on WGN).  And in this time slot, facing so much local baseball competition, i don’t know who would watch this game in the early season.

I don’t know what sort of flexibility they have in terms of scheduling, but if they can cherry-pick some key late season games it’s a different story.  It might have made more sense to kick off their coverage post-All-Star break.    We shall see.

Seemingly, even an act of God will not deter anti-Morganites from flocking to a Joe-free telecast.  Despite starting 58 minutes late due to a rain delay and ending just before midnight, Yanks/Sox put up the largest average audience for a Sunday night game this season.

ESPN Sunday Night Baseball

 

 

   
2008 Season to Date
VS. YEAR AGO
P2+  Male  Median P2+  Male  Median
Date Teams Time Dur M18-49 M18-34 (000) Skew % Age M18-49 M18-34 (000) Skew % Age
03/30/2008 BRAVES/NATIONALS 8:00 PM 168 2.48 2.35 3657 73% 45   6% 0% 4% 1% 1
04/06/2008 WHITE SOX/TIGERS* 8:00 PM 176 1.33 1.36 2153 71% 47   -30% -30% -25% -2% 0
04/13/2008 YANKEES/RED SOX 8:00 PM 248 2.43 2.38 3897 72% 46   115% 167% 86% 0% -6
04/20/2008 METS/PHILLIES 8:00 PM 205 1.54 1.40 2464 72% 46   -58% -64% -55% 3% 1
04/27/2008 ANGELS/TIGERS 8:00 PM 188 1.23 1.21 2075 73% 49   GAME POSTPONED YEAR AGO
05/04/2008 CUBS/CARDINALS 8:00 PM 184 1.59 1.48 3391 69% 53   33% 16% 71% -6% 2
05/11/2008 RED SOX/TWINS 8:00 PM 197 1.23 1.04 2525 72% 50   19% 32% 40% 4% 2
05/18/2008 METS/YANKEES 8:00 PM 188 1.85 1.61 3422 72% 50   -7% -12% -4% 0% 2
05/25/2008 ANGELS/WHITE SOX 8:00 PM 139 .54 .46 1082 66% 50   -26% -43% -26% -5% -2
06/01/2008 DODGERS/METS 8:00 PM 186 1.32 1.15 2392 73% 49   -58% -62% -55% 5% 2
06/08/2008 CUBS/DODGERS 8:00 PM 187 1.02 .90 2230 70% 54   -13% -7% -7% 1% 0
06/15/2008 BRAVES/ANGELS 8:00 PM 147 .58 .46 1353 73% 55   -70% -71% -62% 6% 6
06/22/2008 WHITE SOX/CUBS 8:00 PM 195 1.63 1.62 2964 71% 49   36% 37% 28% 3% -6
06/29/2008 CUBS/WHITE SOX 8:00 PM 167 1.37 1.24 2732 71% 52   11% 18% 27% -4% 3
07/06/2008 RED SOX/YANKEES 8:00 PM 219 2.24 1.93 4125 70% 49   87% 110% 81% -1% -5
07/13/2008 ROCKIES/METS 8:00 PM 170 1.21 1.10 2099 73% 49   20% 25% 26% 1% 0
07/20/2008 RED SOX/ANGELS 6:00 PM 180 1.26 1.06 2257 72% 51   -9% -4% -13% 4% -1
07/27/2008 YANKEES/RED SOX 8:58 PM 176 2.38 2.25 4230 71% 49   116% 132% 125% -5% 1
AVERAGE       1.57 1.44 2830 71% 49 -3% -4% 1% 1% 0
*aired on ESPN2                          

Season-to-date, the only games Joe Morgan sees (save one) are down slightly in male demos and virtually flat in average audience.

FOX Saturday Baseball

 

 

       
2008 Season to Date
VS. YAGO
M18-49 M18-34 P2+  Male  Median P2+  Male  Median
Date Time Dur Rtg Rtg (000) Skew % Age M18-49 M18-34 (000) Skew % Age Notes
04/05/2008 3:52 PM 188 1.6 1.6 3233 70% 49     0% 7% -8% 2% 1
04/12/2008 3:51 PM 183 1.9 1.9 4030 68% 48     27% 36% 19% 1% -4 NYY/BOS, COL/ARZ in ‘08
04/19/2008 3:51 PM 182 1.2 1.2 2868 65% 51     -45% -45% -39% -4% 0 NYY/BOS, STL/CHI in ‘07
04/26/2008 3:51 PM 209 1.0 0.8 2773 66% 55     -41% -50% -33% 0% 3
05/03/2008 3:42 PM 185 1.5 1.3 2924 70% 49     7% 8% 1% -2% -1
05/10/2008 3:37 PM 184 1.1 0.9 3115 64% 57     -15% -10% 6% -5% 6
05/17/2008 3:52 PM 193 1.1 1.0 2554 68% 54     -39% -38% -37% 1% 5 Interleague
05/24/2008 3:51 PM 173 1.0 0.9 2393 70% 51     -29% -25% -30% 0% -3
05/31/2008 3:51 PM 189 1.0 0.8 2846 68% 55     -57% -67% -41% 1% 7 NYY/BOS in ‘07
06/07/2008 3:51 PM 164 1.2 1.1 2606 69% 53     0% 10% 0% -1% 1
06/14/2008 3:51 PM 178 1.0 0.9 2724 65% 53     -38% -36% -11% -4% 2
06/21/2008 3:51 PM 194 1.1 0.9 2576 69% 55     -35% -47% -33% -1% 2
06/28/2008 4:14 PM 193 1.5 1.4 2483 68% 52     -6% 0% -22% -7% -1
07/05/2008 3:51 PM 183 2.1 1.8 4538 68% 51     31% 38% 29% 3% 0 NYY/BOS in ‘08
07/12/2008 3:51 PM 184 1.1 0.8 2532 70% 54     -15% -33% -19% 0 1
07/19/2008 3:51 PM 184 1.4 1.1 3072 70% 53     -7% 10% -2% 0 2
07/26/2008 3:51 PM 211 1.6 1.4 3914 66% 52     23% 40% 25% 0 -3 NYY/BOS in ‘08
                                 
AVERAGE     1.3 1.2 3090 68% 52   -19% -14% -12% -1% 1    

Over the 17 FOX MLB Saturday windows this season, just 4 have had a higher Male 18-49 rating than the same week in 2007.  Of these 4, Yankees/Red Sox have been the 2008 game in 3 of the windows.

Season-to-date, FOX Saturday MLB is down 19% in Men 18-49, 14% in Men 18-34 and 12% in P2+.